Falcons vs. Steelers Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 1

Published 4:37 pm Saturday, September 7, 2024

Our computer model predicts a victory for the Pittsburgh Steelers when they play the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 8 at 1:00 p.m. ET — for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.

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The Falcons put up 334.3 yards per game offensively last season (17th in NFL), and they surrendered 321.1 yards per game (11th) on the defensive side of the ball. The Steelers put up 304.3 yards per game offensively last year (25th in NFL), and they allowed 342.1 yards per game (21st) on defense.

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Falcons vs. Steelers Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Steelers (+3.5) Under (41.5) Steelers 22, Falcons 17

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Falcons Betting Info

  • The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Falcons a 65.5% chance to win.
  • Atlanta went 5-12-0 ATS last season.
  • The Falcons covered the spread once when favored by 3.5 points or more last season (in two opportunities).
  • Last season, seven Atlanta games hit the over.
  • Falcons games last season posted an average total of 40.1, which is 1.4 points fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Steelers Betting Info

  • The Steelers have a 39.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Pittsburgh went 10-7-0 ATS last season.
  • The Steelers won each of their three games last season when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponent combined to go over the point total six out of 17 times last year.
  • Games involving the Steelers last year averaged 38.8 points per game, a 2.7-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Falcons vs. Steelers 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Falcons 18.9 21.9 24 20.3 14.3 23.4
Steelers 17.9 19.1 18.3 19.2 17.4 18.9

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