Falcons vs. Buccaneers Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Thursday Night Football Week 5

Published 8:38 pm Wednesday, October 2, 2024

On Thursday, Oct. 3 at 8:15 p.m. ET, the Atlanta Falcons will play the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Our computer model predicts that the Falcons will claim a victory — keep scrolling for more info, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

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The Falcons are compiling 309.3 yards per game on offense, which ranks them 19th in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, they rank 19th, allowing 336.5 yards per game. From an offensive perspective, the Buccaneers are compiling 319 total yards per game (16th-ranked). They rank 18th in the NFL defensively (335.3 total yards given up per game).

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Toss Up (Spread: Falcons by 1.5) Under (44) Falcons 22, Buccaneers 21

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Falcons Betting Info

  • The Falcons have an implied moneyline win probability of 55.6% in this matchup.
  • Atlanta has covered once in four matchups with a spread this season.
  • The Falcons have not covered the spread when favored by 1.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
  • Games featuring Atlanta have gone over the point total just once this season.
  • Falcons games average 44.3 total points per game this season, 0.3 more than the over/under for this matchup.

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Buccaneers Betting Info

  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Buccaneers have a 48.8% chance to win.
  • Tampa Bay has compiled a 3-1-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • The Buccaneers have been an underdog by 1.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
  • Tampa Bay games have gone over the point total twice this year.
  • The average total for Buccaneers games is 44.1 points, 0.1 more than this game’s over/under.

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Falcons 18.8 21.3 17.7 21.3 22 21
Buccaneers 24.3 19.5 25.7 20.7 20 16

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