Falcons vs. Broncos Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 11
Published 4:37 pm Saturday, November 16, 2024
Our computer model predicts a win for the Denver Broncos when they face the Atlanta Falcons at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday, Nov. 17 at 4:05 p.m. ET — for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.
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The Broncos rank 22nd in points scored this year (19.7 points per game), but they’ve been thriving on defense, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with 17.7 points allowed per game. From an offensive standpoint, the Falcons are posting 23.8 points per contest (13th-ranked). They rank 20th in the NFL on defense (23.6 points surrendered per game).
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Falcons vs. Broncos Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Broncos (-2) | Under (44.5) | Broncos 24, Falcons 19 |
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Falcons Betting Info
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 47.6% chance of a victory for the Falcons.
- Atlanta is 5-5-0 ATS this season.
- The Falcons have covered the spread once this year (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 2-point underdogs.
- So far this season, four of Atlanta’s 10 games with a set number have hit the over.
- The average total points scored in Falcons games this year (44.5) is two points higher than the total for this matchup.
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Broncos Betting Info
- The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Broncos a 56.5% chance to win.
- Denver has covered the spread seven times in 10 games this season.
- The Broncos have covered the spread when playing as at least 2-point favorites in three of three opportunities this season.
- In Denver’s 10 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total six times.
- The over/under in this game is 44.5 points, 4.7 higher than the average total in Broncos games this season (playoffs included).
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Falcons vs. Broncos 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | 19.7 | 17.7 | 21 | 17 | 18.8 | 18.2 |
| Falcons | 23.8 | 23.6 | 21.7 | 24.8 | 27 | 21.8 |
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