A win by the Washington Commanders over the Atlanta Falcons is our computer model prediction for these teams’ upcoming game, on Sunday, Dec. 29 at 8:20 p.m. ET (at Commanders Field). For a full breakdown, including the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.

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The Commanders rank 10th in total defense this season (322.9 yards allowed per game), but they’ve been playing really well on the offensive side of the ball, ranking fifth-best in the NFL with 373.5 total yards per game. The Falcons rank 17th in the NFL with 21.8 points per contest on offense, and they rank 20th with 23.3 points surrendered per contest on the defensive side of the ball.

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Falcons vs. Commanders Predictions and Picks

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Falcons Betting Info

• The implied probability of a win by the Falcons based on the moneyline is 39.2%.
• Atlanta is 6-8-1 ATS this season.
• The Falcons have been an underdog by 3.5 points or more two times this year, and covered the spread in one of those games.
• Atlanta games have hit the over five out of 15 times this season.
• The over/under for this game is 0.5 points higher than the average scoring total for Falcons games (playoffs included) of 46.

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Commanders Betting Info

• The Commanders have a 65.5% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
• Washington has compiled a 9-6-0 ATS record so far this year.
• The Commanders are 3-2 ATS this season when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
• Washington and its opponent have combined to go over the point total 10 out of 15 times this season.
• Commanders games this season have posted an average total of 46.1, which is 0.4 points fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Falcons vs. Commanders 2024 Scoring Insights

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