Southeast Division opponents meet when the Atlanta Hawks (16-15) host the Miami Heat (15-13) at State Farm Arena, tipping off at 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, December 28, 2024. The Heat are 2.5-point underdogs in the game, the first matchup between the teams this season.

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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024
• Time: 3:00 PM ET
• How to watch on TV: NBA TV, FDSSE, and FDSSUN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Venue: State Farm Arena

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Hawks vs. Heat Score Prediction

• Prediction: –
  Heat 115 – Hawks 114

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Spread & Total Prediction for Hawks vs. Heat

• Pick ATS: Heat (+ 2.5)
• Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-0.7)
• Pick OU:

  Over (226.5)
  

• Computer Predicted Total: 228.3

• The Hawks (13-18-0 ATS) have covered the spread 41.9% of the time, 8.1% less often than the Heat (14-14-0) this year.
• When the spread is set as 2.5 or more this season, Atlanta (3-10) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (23.1%) than Miami (4-4) does as the underdog (50%).
• When it comes to eclipsing the point total in 2024-25, Miami and its opponents don’t do it as often (53.6% of the time) as Atlanta and its opponents (64.5%).
• The Hawks have a .500 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (7-7) this season, higher than the .364 winning percentage for the Heat as a moneyline underdog (4-7).

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Hawks Performance Insights

• The Hawks’ defense ranks fourth-worst in the NBA with 119.5 points allowed per contest, but their offense has been more consistent, putting up 117.2 points per game (seventh-ranked in league).
• Atlanta is allowing 44 boards per game this year (16th-ranked in NBA), but it has shined by grabbing 46 rebounds per game (fourth-best).
• With 29.7 dimes per game, the Hawks rank third-best in the league in the category.
• Atlanta has struggled in terms of turnovers this year, ranking fourth-worst in the NBA with 15.8 turnovers per game. On the other hand, it ranks fifth-best in the league with 15.9 forced turnovers per contest.
• The Hawks are making 12.6 threes per game (20th-ranked in NBA) this year, while sporting a 35.1% three-point percentage (18th-ranked).

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Heat Performance Insights

• At 111.3 points scored per game and 108.6 points allowed, the Heat are 19th in the league on offense and sixth on defense.
• Miami collects 43.3 rebounds per game and concede 45.2 boards, ranking 19th and 24th, respectively, in the NBA.
• The Heat are 14th in the NBA in assists (25.6 per game) in 2024-25.
• Miami is the fourth-best team in the league in turnovers per game (12.5) and 10th in turnovers forced (14.4).
• In 2024-25 the Heat are ninth in the NBA in 3-point makes (14.6 per game) and fifth-best in 3-point percentage (37.8%).

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