Falcons vs. Chiefs Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Sunday Night Football Week 3

Published 8:39 pm Saturday, September 21, 2024

On Sunday, Sept. 22 at 8:20 p.m. ET, the Kansas City Chiefs will play the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Our computer model projects a victory for the Falcons — keep scrolling for more info, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

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The Chiefs are averaging 26.5 points per game on offense, which ranks them sixth in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, they rank 20th, allowing 22.5 points per game. In terms of points scored the Falcons rank 24th in the NFL (16 points per game), and they are 11th defensively (19.5 points allowed per game).

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Falcons vs. Chiefs Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Falcons (+3) Under (46.5) Falcons 22, Chiefs 20

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Falcons Betting Info

  • The implied probability of a win by the Falcons based on the moneyline is 41.7%.
  • Atlanta has a record of 1-1-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Falcons have covered the spread when playing as at least 3-point underdogs in their only opportunity this season.
  • Atlanta and its opponent have not yet hit the over in 2024.
  • Falcons games average 44.5 total points, two fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Chiefs Betting Info

  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Chiefs have an implied win probability of 62.3%.
  • Kansas City has covered once in two chances against the spread this season.
  • The Chiefs have covered the spread once when favored by 3 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
  • So far this season, two Kansas City games have hit the over.
  • Chiefs games have had an average of 47 points this season, 0.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Falcons vs. Chiefs 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Chiefs 26.5 22.5 26.5 22.5
Falcons 16 19.5 10 18 22 21

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